Retirement & Pensions
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What Will Your Income Be During Retirement? The 4% Rule

The 4% Rule is a principle in retirement planning that offers a systematic approach to managing withdrawals from you investments during your golden years.

The 4% Rule revolves around the idea that withdrawing 4% of your initial retirement portfolio annually provides a sustainable income for at least 30-years.

Understanding the mathematics behind this rule can be highly useful when looking at financial stability in retirement, and that’s exactly what we are going to do! Find out if this rule can be helpful for your planning by reading below.

Decoding the Maths

The 4% Rule is based on a simple formula. For example, if you have a CHF 1 million retirement portfolio, you would withdraw CHF 40,000 in the first year of retirement. Subsequent withdrawals would adjust for inflation, ensuring a consistent real income over time. This strategy therefore aims to balance the need for regular income with the desire to preserve capital for an extended retirement period.

The mathematical foundation of the 4% Rule provides a structured approach, but it’s essential to recognise that individual circumstances vary and it is common to spend more in your earlier years of retirement, and less in your later years.

Considerations and Adjustments

Whilst the 4% Rule can provide a useful framework, it’s not a one-size-fits-all solution and should be taken with a grain of salt.

Factors such as inflation rates, your investment returns, anticipated lifespan, healthcare expenses, and lifestyle choices can greatly influence the efficacy of this rule. Hence, you should really view the 4% Rule as more of a starting point, that requires ongoing reviews and adaptation to your lifestyle, than the final answer to the question “how much income should I take in retirement”.

Balancing Risk and Reward

The important point to note is that you must strike a balance between enjoying your retirement and safeguarding against longevity risk. The 4% Rule offers a compromise, providing a steady income stream whilst preserving the potential for portfolio growth. However, the rule’s success hinges on a diversified investment portfolio that can weather market fluctuations. As such, regular (at least once per year) portfolio reviews can help align your investments with your risk tolerance, ensuring a balanced approach to risk and reward.

Please note that all content within this article has been prepared for information purposes only. This article does not constitute financial, legal or tax advice.